If Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney wins the November election, his ascension could endanger鈥攐r dismantle鈥攌ey Obama administration education initiatives and lead to a slimmed-down and less activist U.S. Department of Education.
Gone could be any federal support for the Common Core State Standards, which Mr. Romney has cast as a state issue. The outlook would be cloudy for another 鈥淓arly Learning Challenge,鈥 a $500 million Obama competition, since Mr. Romney has not made early education a key part of his platform. And in a nod to fiscal conservatism, he wants to combine duplicative teacher-quality programs into a block grant.
But some of President Barack Obama鈥檚 priorities might live on in a Romney administration. The former Massachusetts governor has praised the Race to the Top competition, Mr. Obama鈥檚 signature education redesign initiative. He also has voiced support for the Harlem Children鈥檚 Zone, a community-building project that inspired the current administration鈥檚 Promise Neighborhoods grants.
Mr. Romney, however, has been silent on perhaps the biggest question: Would he rescind, or demand changes to, the waivers that have been granted so far under the No Child Left Behind Act to 33 states and the District of Columbia?
Overall, education experts would not expect a very active Education Department under Mr. Romney.
Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney has used two different forums鈥攁 May 23 speech to the Latino Coalition, in Washington, and an appearance on NBC鈥檚 鈥淓ducation Nation鈥 last week鈥攖o explain how he would approach issues in education, including initiatives President Barack Obama has promoted.
NCLB and Federal Accountability
鈥淚 would insist that schools are graded on a simple basis that parents can understand, A through F.鈥
Early Education
鈥淲e do have programs like Head Start. We can evaluate where those have been effective and where they鈥檝e been less effective. ... But I also don鈥檛 think there鈥檚 any substitute for the home.鈥
Race to the Top Competition
鈥淏ut what I like about [U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan] is he said, 鈥楲ook, I want to have this Race to the Top program, which will give grants to states to encourage innovation, and specifically that say we鈥檙e going to compensate teachers, based upon their performance,鈥 which I think is the right thing. We鈥檙e going to insist on more school choice. I think that鈥檚 the right thing.鈥
Common Core State Standards
鈥淚 prefer to let states and communities decide what their own curriculum will be. 鈥 I don鈥檛 subscribe to the idea of the federal government trying to push a common core on various states. ... In terms of implementing the common core, if you鈥檝e chosen it, congratulations, work on it and do it within the resources of your own state.鈥
Teacher Evaluations
鈥淭here are currently 82 programs in 10 agencies that spend $4 billion on teacher quality. As president, I will consolidate these programs, and block-grant them to states that adopt innovative policies. For example, states will be rewarded if they regularly evaluate teachers for their effectiveness and compensate the best teachers for their success.鈥
Harlem Children鈥檚 Zone
(a model for Promise Neighborhoods)
鈥淩ight here in New York City, Geoffrey Canada has a program in Harlem that鈥檚 been just remarkably successful in helping bring young people to a posture where they鈥檙e ready to learn by the time school starts. And those types of efforts I think should be evaluated one by one, and we should encourage and support those that are most effective.鈥
SOURCES: NBC鈥檚 鈥淓ducation Nation;鈥
Latino Coalition Speech
鈥淚 think this era of initiatives of education reform coming from 400 Maryland Avenue will come to a close,鈥 said Michael J. Petrilli, the executive vice president of the Thomas B. Fordham Institute, a Washington think tank, referring to the address of the department鈥檚 headquarters. 鈥淚 think it鈥檚 going to be kind of a sleepy department.鈥
Reading Signals
Although Mr. Romney has not devoted a significant chunk of his campaign to education, he has laid out a few initiatives he would pursue if elected.
Chief among them is a plan to convert Title I funding for disadvantaged students and special education aid into vouchers so students could take those federal dollars with them to another public or private school. Mr. Romney has not been specific on how such a program would work; the federal government provides less than 10 percent of all K-12 funding, with state and local dollars filling in the rest.
In addition, Mr. Romney has promised to rein in federal spending鈥攕omething Democrats have warned could lead to deep cuts in education programs and larger class sizes.
As president, Mr. Romney would have the power to shape the direction of federal school accountability even if Congress failed to reauthorize the Elementary and Secondary Education Act, whose current version is the NCLB law. Since waivers under the law are made at the discretion of the education secretary, Mr. Romney and his department head could probably do with them what they wanted, policy experts point out.
鈥淲hat the president giveth, the president can taketh away,鈥 former U.S. Secretary of Education Margaret Spellings, who served in President George W. Bush鈥檚 administration and at one point advised the Romney campaign, said in an interview during the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Fla.
鈥淭he waivers were a mistake,鈥 she said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a crazy quilt of a system which I think will die [on its] own.鈥
Others would expect the waivers鈥攊n some form鈥攖o stick around.
鈥淭he most likely outcome is continuity. I don鈥檛 see Romney taking the waivers away. The genie鈥檚 out of the bottle,鈥 said Mr. Petrilli, who served in the Education Department under Ms. Spellings鈥 predecessor, Rod Paige, Mr. Bush鈥檚 first education secretary.
鈥淚 think the real question is whether he might provide even greater flexibility than the Obama administration did. Would he waive some of the conditions?鈥 Mr. Petrilli said.
鈥淭he waiver decision is the biggest one that will face the Romney administration.鈥
Chris Minnich, the senior membership director at the Council of Chief State School Officers, in Washington, said: 鈥淚t would be really hard for any administration to back away from the state leadership. ... We鈥檝e set the long-term goal of having individualized state accountability with a high bar.鈥
On other issues, Mr. Romney has tipped his hand.
For example, he has said that although he thinks states should be free to adopt the common core, he would not put federal resources behind it. And that could mean that a Romney administration might back away from tying waivers to common-core adoption, which is the easiest way states can satisfy the requirement that their standards be college- and career-ready.
鈥淚 don鈥檛 subscribe to the idea of the federal government trying to push a common core on various states,鈥 Mr. Romney said during the Education Nation forum hosted last week by NBC.
He also has suggested elements of what he wants to see in a federal accountability law, which could influence how he approaches waivers. For instance, Mr. Romney wants states to use an easy-to-understand, A-F grading system to measure schools鈥 progress.
Several states are using such a grading system as part of their waiver proposals to the federal Education Department. But many states proposed far-more-complex grading systems, which a Romney administration might not approve of.
Fiscal Shadow
Given Mr. Romney鈥檚 campaign pledge to rein in spending, and his opposition to federal financial support for the common-core initiative, it鈥檚 also highly unlikely he would set aside more money to pay for common assessments. The Obama administration used $360 million in economic-stimulus money to help pay for the development of common tests to match the common standards.
The common-core states are on their way to putting the new standards in place. But the costly testing component is more at risk.
鈥淚 think my bigger concern, when you look at the other pieces that have gone along with common core, is the common assessments,鈥 said John Barge, the elected Georgia state schools superintendent, who is a Republican. There鈥檚 鈥渁 lot of work to be done,鈥 he said.
In general, Mr. Barge said, 鈥渇or me as a conservative, ... I would like to say we would need less money from the federal government, but right now we can鈥檛 do that.鈥
Other grant programs that have been launched under the Obama administration also will be ongoing after the election. If Mr. Romney wins, his appointee as education secretary will be in charge of implementing and monitoring programs such as the $4 billion Race to the Top state competition, which included 12 winners, and the nearly $1 billion Investing in Innovation program that鈥檚 awarded grants to dozens of schools and districts.
By year鈥檚 end, the Education Department will make a round of Race to the Top awards to school districts, too.
Mr. Romney has praised Race to the Top for its focus on expanding the growth of charter schools and spurring states to revamp teacher evaluations.
And Promise Neighborhoods could have a bright future, too. Mr. Romney has repeatedly singled out Geoffrey Canada鈥檚 work in creating the Harlem Children鈥檚 Zone鈥攚hich provides wraparound services to improve the environments children live in鈥攁s a successful model. Mr. Obama created Promise Neighborhoods, a $100 million competitive-grant program, to help support programs like the one in Harlem.
Regardless of the future of those programs, states鈥 unspent grant winnings are relatively safe. Federal budget experts say a new president alone cannot scoop up unspent grant money, although Congress technically could.
But most observers agree that Mr. Romney would not pursue additional education money, particularly for Race to the Top.
鈥淚t鈥檚 not that Romney is opposed to the ideas in Race to the Top,鈥 said Jennifer Cohen Kabaker, a senior education policy analyst with the New America Foundation, a Washington think tank. 鈥淗e鈥檚 opposed more to the role the federal government took to encourage states to take part in the reforms.鈥